Trump to Meet Xi in Beijing; Markets Price Visit at 99.8%

President Donald Trump is scheduled to arrive in Beijing on Wednesday for a two-day summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping. Prediction markets have priced the “Trump Visit to China” contract for a visit by May 31 at 99.8% YES.

The market for a visit by June 30 is trading at similar levels, with one contract at about 99.9%. The May 31 contract rose from roughly 99% a day earlier after dates and an itinerary were confirmed. Traders are showing stronger activity around whether the visit will occur than around specific meeting details.

The trip will be Trump’s first visit to China as president in nine years. The agenda is expected to cover economic ties, security issues and regional diplomatic concerns. Officials have signaled that U.S. policy on Taiwan will remain unchanged; Secretary of State Marco Rubio is among administration figures who have reiterated that stance. The summit has also revived discussion of a “Group of Two” framework, a concept previously raised by Trump in 2025.

Observers will monitor any announcements from the two governments on trade measures, joint statements on regional security and any new understandings on Taiwan. Changes to Trump’s itinerary, public statements from either side or sudden geopolitical events could alter the summit’s prospects and affect market pricing for related contracts.

The visit follows months of diplomatic friction over trade, tariffs and market access for U.S. companies, with Taiwan a recurrent source of tension. Officials on both sides will use the meetings to address those disputes directly, and markets are likely to reassess the U.S.-China relationship based on the outcomes and any statements issued during and after the summit.